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Alternatives to PVC: An Economic
Analysis
Frank Ackerman
U.S. Green Building Conference
Austin, Texas
November 14, 2002
This much should be self-evident: a material should not be used
in green buildings if it is uniquely toxic or carcinogenic, if
it causes high levels of harm to workers, communities, and the
natural environment both in production and in disposal. Rather,
replacement of such a material with less toxic alternatives should
be a priority for environmentally concerned architects, designers,
and builders.
I will argue that there is one high-volume, highly toxic building
material that should be replaced: polyvinyl chloride (PVC). It
is the only one of the common plastics that is chlorinated; as
a result, its production and disposal give rise to emissions of
dioxin, vinyl chloride monomer, and other dangerous, chlorinated
organic pollutants. Although PVC has become ubiquitous, and is
known for being cheap and convenient, there are alternatives that
can replace it in every current use. The incremental cost for
alternatives differs from one product to another in some
cases, as we will see, there is little or no additional cost for
using less hazardous materials. In medical institutions, where
the movement to replace PVC on health grounds is advancing rapidly,
prices of alternatives have plummeted as major buyers have begun
to demand chlorine-free products. The same could and should happen
in construction.
Since todays session includes a representative of the plastics
industry and an expert on life-cycle analysis, let me begin with
a word about how my views relate to their topics. I am definitely
not here to criticize all use of plastics; no other plastics cause
such severe health effects, in production or disposal, as PVC.
Indeed, the most practical alternative to PVC is frequently a
polyethylene or other non-chlorinated plastic product. The question
is not, Plastics: good or bad? Often the question
is How can we replace bad plastics with better ones?
Life-cycle analyses have proliferated in recent years, seeking
to evaluate alternative materials on a broad range of environmental
criteria. A number of these studies suggest that PVC is at least
as green as alternative materials. On closer examination,
it turns out that many such studies pay little or no attention
to toxic and carcinogenic impacts, but focus on questions such
as energy use and several varieties of common, low-toxicity emissions.
It is interesting to know that PVC does relatively well by standards
of energy use and criteria pollutant emissions, but these findings
are not relevant to the main health and environmental problems
caused by the vinyl life cycle.
In the early 1990s I led a research team at the Tellus Institute,
a non-profit environmental research group in Boston, in a massive
life-cycle analysis of all the packaging materials in widespread
use in the U.S. economy at the time. Unlike many other analyses,
our criteria for evaluation of the materials were heavily weighted
toward human health impacts. None of us on the research team knew
about the problems with PVC when we started. We were all but certain
that we knew in advance how the study would turn out and
we were wrong. To our complete surprise, our quantitative results
singled out the PVC life cycle as far more carcinogenic than other
packaging materials, including all the other common plastics.
Chlorinated Carcinogens
The remarkable success of PVC in penetrating many different markets,
and the numerous health hazards that it creates, have a single
cause: PVC is the only common plastic that contains chlorine.
Other plastics, including polyethylenes, the most widely used
polymers, are made entirely from hydrocarbons. PVC, in contrast,
combines hydrocarbons with chlorine which turns out to
be both a versatile and a deadly combination.
PVC in its pure form has limited uses. It is rigid, and becomes
brittle with prolonged exposure to light. However, the shape of
the chlorinated molecules allows many different additives to be
mixed in, giving PVC a broad range of possible characteristics.
Depending on the product, the additives may include plasticizers
to make it less rigid, stabilizers to overcome light sensitivity,
and dyes to achieve the desired colors.
The unique chemistry of PVC is also the source of the bad news.
Many chlorinated organic compounds are known to be toxic or carcinogenic,
and many more, similar compounds have yet to be tested. The production
of chlorine, and its subsequent use in the production of PVC,
creates many of these hazardous chemicals as byproducts.
In nature, chlorine is normally harmless, bound up in inorganic
molecules such as sodium chloride (ordinary salt). Chlorine in
its pure, and dangerous, form is an unwanted byproduct of the
chemical industry, which splits salt molecules by electrolysis
to obtain sodium, for use in making caustic soda. The only way
to dispose of the chlorine is to use it in another industry
for bleaching paper or disinfecting water, for instance
or to make it into other products. Over the years these products
have included: household bleach; DDT and other hazardous pesticides;
PCBs; perc, the dry cleaning fluid that is now recognized as a
health hazard; and the poison gas that proved so lethally effective
in World War I.
However, many of these chlorinated chemicals are no longer on
the market, or have limited potential for growth. The largest
and most rapidly expanding market today is the production of PVC,
which absorbs more than 40% of all industrial chlorine. As a result
of this extensive use of chlorine, every step of the PVC life
cycle involves remarkably hazardous emissions.
Dioxin, the most potent carcinogen ever encountered, is emitted
in the production of PVC, and again when PVC is burned. Municipal
waste incinerators are a leading source of dioxin, and half of
the chlorine in incinerators that ends up in dioxin comes from
PVC waste. Dioxin is also created when PVC burns accidentally
in fires, or intentionally in open burning of waste in rural areas.
As long as construction waste on rural job sites ends up in burn
barrels, vinyl building materials are spreading dioxin across
the countryside.
Other chemical hazards are created in even larger quantities.
Vinyl chloride, the essential building block from which PVC is
assembled, is a proven human carcinogen. Workers in PVC production
facilities and residents of neighboring communities are inevitably
exposed to vinyl chloride emissions; it was these emissions that
determined the outcome of our Tellus study. And there are many
more chlorinated organic compounds, byproducts of the production
and disposal of PVC, which are known to be hazardous to our health.
Moreover, the additives in PVC are themselves often toxic. Stabilizers
include dangerous metals such as lead, cadmium, and tin, while
plasticizers include a type of organic compounds, called phthalates,
that are endocrine disrupters. In many cases, these additives
leach out into the environment, changing the properties of the
vinyl product and endangering those who come into contact with
it. Concern about leaching of toxic additives has been a major
factor in the growing rejection of PVC in medical supplies, but
it is important in other areas as well. When PVC ends up in landfills,
the additives can seep out into leachate, the heavily polluted
water that collects in landfills and, all too often, leaks into
nearby water supplies. Markets for PVC
Sales of PVC have grown rapidly in recent years, reaching 14.6
billion pounds in the U.S. and Canada in 2001, or 46 pounds per
person. The uses of PVC are shown in the following graph (next
page). Although vinyl can be found in products ranging from packaging
and lawn furniture to hospital supplies and automobile interiors,
the graph shows that more than three-fourths of all PVC ends up
in pipes and construction materials.
Pipes (including tubing, conduits, and pipe fittings) account
for almost half of PVC sales. Most of this consists of municipal
water and sewer pipes, outdoor drainage pipes, and industrial
and agricultural pipes. However, two types of PVC pipes are in
fact construction materials: the DWV (drain/waste/vent) plumbing
inside buildings, where use of PVC has become the norm; and electrical
conduits, where PVC competes with steel.
Construction materials, excluding pipes, represent more than a
quarter of PVC use. Vinyl siding is the largest single construction
market, followed by windows and doors, flooring, and wire and
cable. Roofing, wall coverings, and a wide range of other building
materials make up the remainder.
The Cost of Replacements
How much does it cost to replace PVC with less toxic, non-chlorinated
materials? It is widely believed that the cost differential is
enormous: an otherwise knowledgeable Home Depot representative
recently offered me his guess that vinyl-free construction would
have tripled the price of his new home. The facts do not support
any such conclusion. In terms of systematic comparisons, there
were three efforts in the mid-1990s to calculate the cost of replacing
PVC throughout the economy. Converted to todays dollars,
all three studies found that going PVC-free would increase average
costs by about $1.00 per pound for non-pipe applications. The
studies disagreed on the cost of switching to non-PVC pipes, with
one as high as $1.40 per pound, while the most recent and comprehensive
study put the incremental cost of non-PVC pipes at only $0.15
per pound of PVC replaced.
All three studies, though, are somewhat dated; the most recent,
published by Environment Canada in 1997, analyzes data for the
Canadian economy in 1993. It is not obvious that its conclusions
apply to the U.S. economy almost a decade later. The range of
available alternative products has shifted, with some older options,
like aluminum siding, losing market share while others, such as
polyethylene pipe, are growing in importance.
To explore the range of options for PVC-free construction today
I will discuss four product areas. Two of them, flooring and roofing,
provide easy, economical options for eliminating PVC, where alternative
materials offer superior performance; the other two, vinyl siding
and DWV plumbing, are currently harder to replace.
Flooring. There are numerous ways to make floors. In addition
to high-end options such as hardwood floors or ceramic tiles,
there are many varieties of carpeting, wood composite products,
traditional materials such as cork or linoleum, rubber flooring
and vinyl and other synthetic floor coverings. Vinyl is
less durable than many of the alternatives, requiring more maintenance
and more frequent replacement. As a result, materials with a higher
purchase price may have a lower life cycle cost on an annualized
basis.
You dont have to take my word for it; thats the conclusion
that the U.S. Navy reached in a detailed assessment of decking
materials for its ships. In that assessment the Navy tested Stratica,
a new, chlorine-free, composite flooring material, on ten ships,
covering a total of 37,800 square feet. Stratica consists of two
layers, each an ethylene-based copolymer with a variety of metals
and minerals added; the surface layer is a DuPont product that
is also used on the surface of golf balls. The advantages of Stratica,
according to the Navy, are that it has a life expectancy of 10
years, versus 5 for vinyl tile, and that it requires about one-third
as much labor for maintenance. The maintenance costs were the
dominant factor, as shown by the Navys estimates of costs
per square foot over a ten-year span:
Total Life-Cycle Cost
($/sq. ft. over 10 years)
Stratica Vinyl tile
Purchase and installation $7.00 $6.25
Repair $4.00 $6.50
Maintenance labor $192.24 $587.78
Total $203.24 $600.53
According to Environmental Building News, Stratica is ISO 14001
certified, and performed better than vinyl flooring on many criteria
in a life cycle analysis by the Fraunhoffer Institute in Germany.
EBN notes that Straticas biggest environmental selling
point, however, is that it offers a drop-in replacement
for vinyl. The manufacturer, a company that also produces
vinyl tile, tactfully states: Stratica provides a solution
for the customers who prefer, through their own choice, to avoid
chlorine
Stratica is therefore suitable for customers who
simply prefer, through their own choice, to avoid plasticizers.
Roofing. Roofs, like floors, can be made from many materials.
An increasingly popular style, single-ply or flexible membrane
roofing, is most often made from either of two non-chlorinated
plastic materials, TPO (thermoplastic elastomer polyolefin) or
EPDM (ethyl propylene diene monomer), or from PVC. The installed
cost is similar for all three, and usually cheaper than for other
styles of roofing. In some cases, the alternatives are lower-priced
than vinyl. A TPO vendor reports that two almost identical schools
in western Massachusetts, in Longmeadow and Bellamy, recently
installed roofs of about 120,000 square feet. The one that chose
vinyl paid $919,000, while the one that chose TPO paid $638,000.
The vinyl industry advertises the fact that white vinyl roofs
increase the energy efficiency of a building, and have been recognized
by EPAs Energy Star program. However, all three membrane
materials can be made white, in manufacturing or in painting;
the New Orleans Superdome has a mammoth EPDM roof painted white.
An in-depth look at roofing technology comes again from a military
source, this time from the U.S. Armys Construction Engineering
Research Laboratory (CERL). Launching a long-term investigation
into PVC membrane roofing, a 1981 CERL report noted anecdotal
evidence of PVC roof failures in both Switzerland and the United
States, and said, The two most serious PVC membrane problems
are embrittlement from loss of plasticizer or from exposure to
ultraviolet rays and excessive shrinkage. A 1997 paper,
reporting on CERLs ten-year field study of three PVC roofs
at military installations, found that the performance of two of
the roofs was generally satisfactory, whereas problems
related to shattering and splitting occurred at the third.
The paper offers a detailed technical comparison of samples of
the three roofs, noting some (but not conclusive) evidence that
the roof that shattered may have lost more plasticizer than the
ones that remained intact.
In light of this experience, it may not be surprising to learn
that sales of TPO roofing are growing faster than PVC, and EPDM
also has enthusiastic advocates in the industry. In roofing, as
in flooring, there is no cost penalty, and a noticeable gain in
performance, for adopting alternatives to PVC.
Siding. Not every use of vinyl is as easy to replace as flooring
and roofing. Siding is the largest single use of vinyl in construction;
as seen in the graph above, it accounts for about one-eighth of
all PVC. Sales pitches for vinyl siding promise the homeowner
a maintenance-free exterior: Youll never paint again.
As the owner of a traditional, wood-shingled New England house
that needed repainting this year, I understand the appeal of this
promise (although I would personally reject vinyl siding on aesthetic
as well as environmental grounds). An effective alternative will
have to match or rebut vinyls claim to be maintenance-free.
In fact, anecdotal evidence suggests that vinyl siding does discolor
over time, and may require painting, if not replacement.
As the movie Blue Vinyl documents in entertaining
detail, it is difficult to find an affordable alternative that
matches the performance of vinyl siding at present. Aluminum siding,
a leading alternative in years past, has all but disappeared from
the market. However, new, low-maintenance products have been developed
that show promise for the future, including fiber-cement siding,
engineered wood products, and TPO siding. The most successful
of these to date, fiber-cement, contains no chlorine, and is at
least as durable and attractive as vinyl much more so,
according to its enthusiasts. Unfortunately, fiber cement contains
silica, and can give rise to silica dust in manufacturing or installation.
Inhalation of silica dust can cause silicosis, a devastating lung
disease. Unless the silica dust problem can be controlled, fiber
cement poses an occupational health hazard to the workers who
make and install it.
In view of the size of the siding market, finding a non-toxic,
PVC-free alternative remains an important task for those interested
in green buildings. More research and development is needed, either
on controlling the silica dust problem in fiber cement or on identifying
another, healthier alternative siding material.
Plumbing. About half of all PVC is used in pipes. In municipal
water and sewer systems, the largest market for PVC pipes, there
is active, ongoing competition between PVC, polyethylene, and
traditional iron and cement pipes. In the plumbing inside buildings,
hot water pipes get too hot to be made of PVC; thus hot and cold
water lines into the building are usually made of copper. On the
other hand, pipes that take wastewater away the DWV (drain/waste/vent)
pipes are almost always made of PVC today. Ease of installation
is the major selling point for PVC drain pipes: anyone can cut
them to size, and join them with pipe cement. In this case, concern
for occupational health adds to the urgency of finding alternatives.
The purple pipe cement that is used to join PVC pipes is itself
toxic, and threatens the health of contractors, plumbers, and
homeowners who use it.
While the alternatives are not common, they can be found. Both
polyethylene and metal pipes can be used for DWV applications.
One major green building effort, the Sheraton Rittenhouse
Square Hotel in Philadelphia, used black metal drain pipes rather
than PVC. Co-owner Barry Dimson says that the metal tubing was
comparable in price to PVC. Dimson, who describes the Sheraton
Rittenhouse as the first environmentally smart hotel in
the continental United States, explains that the hotel chose
to avoid vinyl wall coverings, carpeting and tile, as well as
drain pipes. In his view, the overall cost of the hotels
ambitious green building program was modest, and frequently led
to improved performance.
Conclusion: Following the Market, and Leading It
In some important cases, such as flooring and roofing, it is easy
to reject vinyl today. There are PVC-free alternatives that offer
superior performance at the same or even lower life-cycle costs.
When short-term economic considerations, performance standards,
and long-term environmental concerns all point in the same direction,
there is no reason to look anywhere else.
In other cases, such as siding and plumbing, the situation is
more complex. There are alternatives to PVC that offer comparable
or better performance, but they are not widely available; only
the PVC products are currently mass-produced and mass-marketed.
As a result, the alternatives are likely to be more expensive.
It is natural to ask how much more expensive the PVC-free products
are but there is often no fixed answer.
When markets for new products expand, prices generally drop, as
demonstrated by the recent history of the computer industry and
other consumer electronics. Economists refer to this as economies
of scale, a pervasive fact of life. The unit price of almost
anything is much lower if you buy a million rather than a thousand
units, both because you have more clout in the market, and because
it is genuinely cheaper to produce things in huge batches.
An example from the field of medical supplies demonstrates the
flexibility of prices, and the role that a major purchaser can
play in shaping the market. Disposable examination gloves, used
in enormous quantity by health care providers, are frequently
made of PVC. A once-common alternative, latex gloves, are increasingly
being rejected because they cause severe allergic reactions in
some patients. The remaining alternative, nitrile gloves, appear
to cost two to four times as much as PVC gloves when bought in
small quantities. However, medical institutions have grown concerned
about the health effects of PVC, and have begun to specify non-PVC
supplies in their purchasing practices. When Kaiser Permanente,
the giant West Coast HMO, placed an order for 43 million nitrile
gloves, their supplier offered a price competitive with PVC gloves.
As production expands to fill Kaiser Permanentes order,
the price of nitrile gloves will likely fall for smaller customers
as well.
Much the same could happen in building materials. Individual homeowners
or small contractors cannot play the role of Kaiser Permanente,
but major builders, government agencies, and other institutional
buyers can. The larger the buyer, the greater the potential to
transform the market and jump-start the mass production of promising
new, less toxic alternatives to PVC. Is the Sheraton Rittenhouse
large enough to change what is available on the market? Their
orders launched a successful Boston-area producer of environmentally
conscious bedding and upholstery (from whom I first heard the
hotels story). Markets and price differentials are dynamic,
ever-changing phenomena; a snapshot of what is profitable today
is only part of the story of where the market is going tomorrow.
In conclusion, the details of different product lines should not
obscure the underlying message: the toxicity of the PVC life cycle
means that the green building movement should put a priority on
eliminating vinyl in every application. Happily, doing the right
thing is already profitable in some cases, such as flooring and
roofing. But it is important to lead the market as well as following
it. In other cases, there is a need for more research and development,
and for the pioneering orders that move the market toward mass
production of green alternatives. As well as acting on what is
already available, we should advocate and celebrate the actions
that will help make doing the right thing more profitable tomorrow
than it is today.
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